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NOVEMBER 16, 2022

Good morning! Anca is at COP27—email her if you are too: anca@ciphernews.com.

She has her second installment on why cleantech isn't reaching developing countries, and our Data Dive shows Vietnam's shocking rise in solar power capacity.

Was this email forwarded to you? Sign up here.

Send your energy photos, story tips and more to news@ciphernews.com or reach me directly at amy@ciphernews.com.

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LATEST NEWS

Developments from COP27

  • Complete contradiction’: Egypt burns dirtier fuel to sell more gas to Europe — Climate Home News
  • EU supports COP27 call to phase down all fossil fuels — Reuters
  • Climate talks deal with fast coming deadlines, slow progress — AP News
  • A Clash at Climate Talks: Should Nations Keep the 1.5-Degree Goal? — The New York Times
  • COP27: Climate talks get boost from G20 declaration — Reuters
  • COP27: Lack of women at negotiations raises concern — BBC
  • ‘Brazil is back’ at COP27 as Lula meets US, Chinese climate envoys — Reuters
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LATEST NEWS

How to unlock clean tech for the developing world

BY: ANCA GURZU

SHARM EL-SHEIKH, Egypt—A half day’s drive from this resort town where thousands are gathered at an annual climate gathering, one of the world’s biggest solar farms stands as a rare example of how clean energy can be financed and built in a developing country, a top Egyptian official said this week.

Benban Solar Park is a sprawling, privately-owned complex of more than 41 solar power plants spread over an area about half the size of Manhattan near Aswan, Egypt. It was funded through public and private finance streams, deals with 30 developers and loans from the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development. The plant came online in 2019.

“Renewables are luckier than other aspects of climate needs because there is an efficient, effective, workable, tried business model for the private sector,” said Egyptian ambassador Wael Aboulmagd at a briefing on Monday at the conference, known as COP27 and organized by the United Nations.

It may be less luck and more experience. Over decades, the wind and solar industries have gone through cost reductions and business model evolutions to become the world’s fastest growing energy sources.

Aboulmagd, who is also special advisor to the COP27 presidency, cited the solar park as an example of success when asked by Cipher about the challenges of bringing clean energy technologies to the developing world.

Despite the apparent success of Benban, renewables remain much costlier to build in developing countries. What’s more, all clean energy technologies, ranging from renewable hydrogen to long-duration energy storage, need to be as cost-effective and easy to finance as wind and solar—all over the world.

In our last edition, we looked at the dire state of clean energy investments in low-income countries. This week, we explore the main—and often interlinked solutions—considered key to reversing the low-investment trend.

Solutions discussed at COP27 include different sizes and structures for public-private partnerships and reforming international financial institutions, usually with an eye to minimizing risk for private investors. Local policies and regulations in developing nations also need to create an investment-friendly environment.

A report from the Independent High-Level Expert Group on Climate Finance launched at COP27 outlines existing examples of partnerships between businesses, governments and foreign investors intended to scale up private capital and other solutions that reduce capital costs.

Private investments will be crucial to boosting clean energy development around the world. But Aboulmagd conceded private capital is not “always easy or always readily available.”

The private sector could “definitely be encouraged to do much more, but sometimes people talk about how much the private sector could do as if it would have a magic wand,” Jonathan Walters, energy and climate economist and former World Bank director, told Cipher. “The private sector will invest where they see risks being sufficiently mitigated.”

Led by the United States climate envoy John Kerry and Mia Mottley, and the prime minister of Barbados, calls are growing across both the developing and developed worlds to reform how multilateral development banks work.

On Tuesday, Kerry announced he wants to work with other countries to create a bank reform plan by April.

It’s important to look at the “international financial architecture to make sure it’s fit for the future,” Frans Timmermans, European Commission executive vice-president, also said Tuesday.

Reforms would allow institutions, such as the World Bank, to take on more risks with the projects they choose to support. This change would give investors needed guarantees and unlock more money for private capital projects, Walters said.

Tackling developing countries’ rising debt and offering more concessional, below market rate loans are other reforms under consideration.

In addition to changing how they invest, multilateral institutions also need more cash coming in, something World Bank leaders called for during COP27.

“Developed countries cannot keep avoiding the questions of contributing more money towards multilateral development banks,” said Walters. “The world is going into a deeper and deeper global economic crisis; the demand for what these banks can offer will increase as a result of that.”

Other potential solutions are “just energy transition partnerships,” like the $8.5 billion deal South Africa struck with the United Kingdom, the U.S., France and Germany to shift away from coal. The International Energy Agency said such partnerships have “immense value” drawing in more investors.

On Tuesday, Indonesia announced a $20 billion dollar deal with the G7 countries and other internal partners, based on the South African model, meant to help the country shut coal power plants and ensure its emissions peak by 2030.

Similar multi-billion-dollar offers are being negotiated with Vietnam and India.

The U.S. promoted another possible solution at COP27: carbon offsets. The plan would raise cash for renewable energy projects or other climate initiatives in developing countries by selling carbon credits to companies wishing to offset their polluting emissions. Representatives from other countries had mixed reactions, with critics worrying the scheme removes incentives to tangibly reduce emissions.

Within developing countries, having the right policies in place that offer investors predictability is important, Tariye Gbadegesin, managing director and CEO of ARM-Harith Infrastructure Fund said during a COP27 side event.

A country’s regulatory framework also needs to encourage the scale-up of clean technologies, she said, to ensure a successful project doesn’t become a one-off.

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Lunchtime Reads and Hot Takes

Kyiv prepares for a winter with no heat, water or power — AP News

Amy’s take: A reminder that if you’re reading this, you probably don’t have it too bad.

EU tells COP27 it will increase climate ambition — Reuters

Anca’s take: It was very handy for the EU to share this message with the world at COP27, as the bloc is facing growing criticism over its increased use of coal and search for more natural gas amid the energy crisis.

Electric cars hit a big speed bump in the midterms — Axios

Amy’s take: In a politically perfect world, all companies would pay to transition to new climate technologies, but of course that is not the world we live in. This appears to be a bigger setback to climate action than it is a finger in the eye of Lyft.

Muhammadu Buhari: How not to talk with Africa about climate change — The Washington Post (paywall)

Amy’s take: This article makes some powerful arguments, though critics have countered that Nigeria itself has a corrupt oil industry.

Climate frenemies: U.S. and EU jostle for an edge in the clean tech marketplace — POLITICO (paywall)

Anca’s take: This is in line with our recent story about the clean tech race. There are growing concerns over “economic nationalism” as the race heats up.

COP27: The Namibia-Botswana oil project being called a sin — BBC

Anca’s take: In the midst of climate negotiations and jargon-filled texts at COP27, this article is a useful reminder of the threats big fossil fuel projects pose for people and the environment on the ground in Africa.

Delta and other firms are struggling to meet sky-high climate pledges — The Washington Post (paywall)

Amy’s take: Back in 2020 when Delta announced it was going to achieve carbon neutrality within two weeks, the company canceled an interview I had with their CEO at the last-minute after I had pressed them on the fact that carbon offsets were the only way to achieve such a goal. Not cool.

Analysis: Which countries have sent the most delegates to COP27? — Carbon Brief

Anca’s take: Wow, the United Arab Emirates (next year’s COP host) has a delegation of over 1,000 people registered!

Europe’s Energy Crunch Will Trigger Years of Shortages and Blackouts — Bloomberg (paywall)

Amy’s take: First Europe restricts funding for fossils fuels in developing countries, then it takes natural gas previously going to those countries to use itself after Russia’s supplies dwindled. Now, those actions are wreaking energy havoc in developing countries.

More of what we're reading:

  • As wealthy nations take heat for warming planet, coalition unveils lofty plan — The Washington Post (paywall)
  • Countries set out 12-mth plan to speed up industry emission cuts — Reuters
  • Heat pumps now required for new homes in Washington state — Canary Media
  • COP27: Global CO2 emissions to rise again, climate goals at risk, scientists say — Reuters
  • Long-duration energy storage to get $350M boost from Dept of Energy — Canary Media
    Novia Scotia’s Race to Harness Tidal Power — The New York Times
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DATA DIVE

Led by Vietnam, Asian nations fuel world’s solar capacity growth

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Source: The Sunny Side of Asia report by Ember, Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air and Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis • Vietnam joins the chart in 2019 when it cracks the top 20. It's had a shocking rise in the rankings, not even making the top 100 in 2017.

BY: AMY HARDER

Five of the top 10 nations with the most solar electricity capacity are in Asia, according to a new report.

Vietnam, in particular, has skyrocketed into the top echelons, going from 139th place in 2017 to 9th in 2021. India, too, has gone from 21st in 2010 to 5th last year.

The report was published by nonprofits Ember, Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air and Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis.

Notably, no African nations make the rankings. The continent, with copious amounts of sunshine, has the greatest potential for solar power, according to the World Economic Forum. Yet, comparatively little development is underway, due to high costs and other challenges Cipher wrote about last week.

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AND FINALLY...

COP27 art

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Anca snapped this color-popping photo at the COP27 venue in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt. It’s part of a digital art collection (which itself requires energy) created using geolocation data that tracked the journey of loggerhead sea turtles. Known as Caretta Carettas, the turtles lay their eggs in the Mediterranean basin by Turkish shores. The works are displayed at Turkey’s pavilion. Check out the video for the full view.

Each week, we feature a photo that is somehow related to energy, the thing we all need but don’t notice until it’s expensive or gone. Email your ideas and photos to news@ciphernews.com.

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Editor’s note: In addition to supporting Cipher, Breakthrough Energy also supports and partners with a range of entities working to tackle climate change, including nonprofits, corporations, startups and research firms. For more information on Cipher’s editorial policy, click here.

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