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SEPTEMBER 21, 2022

 

Good morning from New York, where I moderated a couple of panels connected to Climate Week. I am also making time for a Central Park run this morning for my birthday!

 

I’m headed to Pittsburgh to moderate a panel at the Global Clean Energy Action Forum (livestreamed at that link at 8am ET tomorrow). Will you be there?

 

Anca has great coverage today of the events in New York and Pittsburgh juxtaposed with Europe’s worsening energy crisis.

 

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LATEST NEWS

Europe grapples with energy crisis while climate pressure ramps up

 

BY: ANCA GURZU

World leaders are gathering this week in the United States at two key conferences aimed at ratcheting up pressure to turn ambitious climate goals into reality.

 

But hanging over the gatherings—the United Nations General Assembly in New York and the Global Clean Energy Action Forum in Pittsburgh—is an energy crisis enveloping Europe that lays bare the world’s vulnerable reliance on fossil fuels.

 

“The climate crisis is the defining issue of our time,” U.N. Secretary General António Guterres said Tuesday in New York. “It must be the first priority of every government and multilateral organization. And yet climate action is being put on the back burner—despite overwhelming public support around the world.”

 

European Union energy ministers are set to convene at the end of this month for a second emergency meeting within weeks meant to approve unprecedented measures that seek to tame exorbitant natural gas and electricity prices that are leaving millions of households struggling and choking economic activity.

 

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February has thrown the EU into an energy battle with Moscow. This escalated over the summer as Russia—the EU’s main supplier of natural gas before the war—significantly reduced gas flows to the bloc, sending fuel prices soaring.

     

“We need to understand that the pre-war situation with abundant, cheap fossil fuels is not coming back,” European Commission Vice President Frans Timmermans said last week while presenting the emergency proposals.

     

In an unprecedented move, the Commission proposed mandatory rules to reduce electricity consumption, claw back profits from utilities and fossil fuel companies—estimated to total €140 billion—and redistribute them to consumers. National governments will discuss the proposals on Sept. 30.

 

Europe’s energy crisis got worse following a summer full of extreme weather exacerbated by climate change, including heatwaves that boosted electricity demand and droughts that shut down hydro and nuclear power plants, Commission President Ursula von der Leyen noted in her yearly State of the Union address Sept. 14.

 

The Commission also vowed to propose by early next year comprehensive reform of the electricity market, including new pricing formulas that would decouple the price of natural gas from electricity.

 

Natural gas prices have risen to more than 10 times their pre-pandemic levels, the Commission said. The share of Russian gas as part of the EU’s gas imports went from 40% at the start of the war to 9% today.

 

Europe’s medium- and long-term plan is to fully shed its reliance on Russian fossil fuel imports—which include coal and oil—and to accelerate its green energy transition. But the current energy squeeze ahead of winter is leaving some countries opting for dirty fossil-fuel options to keep the lights and heaters on.

 

Europe boosted coal imports by more than any other region in the first eight months of this year, bringing in 35.5% more of the polluting fuel compared to the same timeframe last year, Reuters reported.

 

Furthermore, Germany is investing in new liquefied natural gas plants. The United Kingdom lifted a ban on fracking for shale gas earlier this month and is set to announce dozens of new North Sea oil and gas licenses to boost domestic gas production.

 

The U.N. has repeatedly criticized new fossil fuel investments, with a high-level U.N. official warning the EU last week that “there is no room for backtracking in the face of the ongoing climate crisis.”

 

The Ukraine war and the energy crisis have created “two contradicting waves,” Mahmoud Mohieldin, former World Bank senior vice president and the U.N. Climate Change High-Level Champion for Egypt, told reporters last week ahead of the events in Pittsburgh. This year’s U.N. climate change conference, or COP27, will be held Nov. 7-18 in Egypt.

 

The first wave is “not really positive for the Paris agreement” since it means “burning anything that could produce energy.” However, he added, it also “created a concern” that can spur the diversification of energy sources and see more investments in renewables.

 

Mohieldin spoke in connection to yesterday’s launch of a report developed by the International Energy Agency, the International Renewable Energy Agency and the U.N. Climate Change High-Level Champions. It coincides with the Global Clean Energy Action Forum in Pittsburgh kicking off tomorrow, where leaders will meet to discuss how to fast track the deployment of clean technologies.

 

The report warns that a gap in international collaboration threatens to delay achieving net-zero emissions by decades. (See more in the Data Dive below.)

 

This dichotomy between where we are and where we should be is also the central focus today of a leaders’ roundtable on climate action in New York, which occurs as part of the U.N. General Assembly and the affiliated Climate Week.

 

The world already has 85% of the technologies, such as those underpinning heat pumps and electric vehicles, to decarbonize by 2030, Laura Corb, senior partner at consulting firm McKinsey & Company, said Monday during the kick-off event of Climate Week. Demonstrated technologies, which are proven in practice but not yet scaled, push that number to 99%, she added.

 

“We have what we need,” Corb said. “The challenge is really scaling.”

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Lunchtime Reads and Hot Takes

 

The climate crisis is real — but overusing terms like ‘crisis’ and ‘emergency’ comes with risk — The Conversation

Amy’s take: I grapple with this wording as well. I once wrote that “crisis” wasn’t the right word to describe a climate change, a centuries-long challenge that makes extreme weather crises worse. I’m evolving on that, and I do think the comments made here are spot on.

Scrapped | EU's controversial 'additionality' rules for green hydrogen are history after European Parliament vote — Recharge News

Anca’s take: What a plot twist from when we covered this in April! This is a textbook example of how intense Brussels lobbying tactics can become over opaque legislation which has huge consequences. There’s no clear winner here but a lot of questions.

Denver passed a sales tax for climate. Is it working? — E&E News (paywall)

Amy’s take: Great story (ugh, another question mark headline. Answer, yes!) The tax increased Denver’s annual spending on climate from $4 million to $45 million. Also, unlike a carbon tax, this is progressive, not regressive, which is key for both economic and political reasons.

France urges Brussels to label nuclear-produced hydrogen ‘green’ — Euractiv
Anca’s take: The lobbying doesn’t stop as the debate over how Europe can produce low-carbon hydrogen takes a different shape. It’s going to be an uphill battle for France, with a lot of pushback expected.

Air conditioning has a climate problem. New technology could help. — The Washington Post

Amy’s take: I need to keep this handy so that when the AC goes out in my condo, I can make a prudent decision and not a rash one rushing to fix it.

The World’s Third-Richest Man Sells the World a Green Dream Built on Coal — Bloomberg

Amy’s take: He (Gautam Adani) is not so much pivoting than adding. He mirrors the world’s energy transition, which is more an energy addition: we’re adding renewable energy on top of fossil fuels—when we need to swap them!

European Investment Bank resists pressure to fund gas projects — Financial Times (paywall)

Anca’s take: This is a tough one to crack! African countries, several of which are still working to ensure energy access to all citizens, see this as a double standard since much of Europe relies on gas for its energy transition. But there’s also the point of not following the same footsteps and encouraging developing countries to jump straight into green energy.

 

More of what we're reading:

  • Clean energy bosses urge permit reforms to meet US climate goals — Financial Times (paywall)

  • Denmark becomes first to offer 'loss and damage' climate funding — Reuters

  • European governments spend half a trillion euros on energy crisis - report — Reuters

  • These red states don’t want climate targets — but they do want green jobs — Grist

  • Meet the Dutch farmer killing the combustion engine — POLITICO
  • FERC's murky leadership future could derail U.S. climate goals — POLITICO
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DATA DIVE

Renewables need to more than double in power sector by 2030: report

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Source: The Breakthrough Agenda Report • The report was developed by the International Energy Agency, the International Renewable Energy Agency and the U.N. Climate Change High-Level Champions. 'Other' refers to geothermal and marine energy.

 

BY: ANCA GURZU

The share of renewables in global electricity generation would need to more than double by 2030 to ensure the power sector is on a path to net-zero emissions, according to a report out Tuesday by several international organizations.

The share should rise from 28% today to between 61% and 65% by 2030, according to the report. That means boosting investments in the sector from the yearly $900 billion to $2 trillion by 2030.

The report is produced by the International Energy Agency, the International Renewable Energy Agency and the U.N. Climate Change High-Level Champions. It’s the first annual assessment following a commitment from 45 countries during the COP26 climate negotiations last year to make clean technologies the most affordable options in all key economic sectors by 2030.

The power sector contributes about a quarter of all global greenhouse gas emissions. Hydropower, wind and solar are the most widespread, though their prominence varies greatly from country to country and region to region.

Ensuring enough affordable renewable electricity is critical beyond just the sector because tackling climate change requires electrifying other large parts of the economy, especially transportation.

Asia boasts the highest renewable power generation capacity by region. However, the Asia Pacific region still relies on fossil fuels to satisfy 85% of its energy consumption needs.

Out of over $2.8 trillion of cumulative renewable energy investments made globally between 2010 and 2020, only 2% were in Africa, despite the region’s massive power needs and abundant resources, the report noted.

The report recommends, among other actions, governments construct new cross-border super grids this decade to expand the range of low-carbon power.

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AND FINALLY...

 

Dam good view

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Cipher reader Brandon von Kannewurff, who is an MBA student at Duke University’s Fuqua School of Business, shares this photo and writes: “I thoroughly enjoyed visiting North Cascades National Park in August and viewing the gorgeous green waters of Diablo Lake. However, more exciting was seeing firsthand the hydro projects that account for 86% of Seattle’s electricity consumption. This Diablo Dam project is a 129 MW resource located just by a national park!”

 

Each week, we feature a photo that is somehow related to energy, the thing we all need but don’t notice until it’s expensive or gone. Email your ideas and photos to news@ciphernews.com.

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